Alex de Minaur vs Andrea Guerrieri — 6-2 6-2 6-4

Result

Guerrieri, 27 and ranked 187th, was making his Grand Slam main-draw debut, having come through three rounds of qualifying a year after sitting outside the top 500. De Minaur gave him very little: the sixth seed returned deep, covered the court and conceded almost nothing once a rally got going, and the Italian's attempts to take risks and break the pattern mostly missed. The first set went 6-2. Rain stopped the second at 4-2 and held the match up for more than an hour and a half, but the restart changed nothing and de Minaur took it 6-2. Guerrieri's one real passage came in the third, where from 1-3 he began taking the ball earlier and shortening the points, converted the only break point he earned all match and led 4-3. De Minaur won the last three games. He finished having won 82% of points behind his first serve and 56% behind his second, and reached the second round without dropping a set, in 1hr 39min.

Alex de Minaur

Andrea Guerrieri

5Aces2

5Double faults2

49%1st serve in63%

82%1st-serve points won67%

56%2nd-serve points won36%

131 mphFastest serve120 mph

6/12Break points won1/1

20Winners16

29Unforced errors33

13/21Net points won12/17

82Total points won64

1454.7 mDistance run1350.6 m

Rows the source hadn’t published are left off rather than guessed.

At this Stage

The Round of 128 is the widest the net ever gets: 64 matches a draw, spread across three days, every seed in action and every qualifier playing the biggest match of the year. This half of the bracket filled in late — qualifying ran a day long after rain pushed the last round to Friday, so these names were still blank slots on draw night. First-round losers leave with $140,000. The winner draws Choinski or Van de Zandschulp in the Round of 64.

Jan Choinski

Botic van de Zandschulp✓

Aug 30–Sep 1

6-3 6-1 7-6(5)

Alex de Minaur✓

Andrea Guerrieri

Aug 30–Sep 1

6-2 6-2 6-4

Alex de Minaur

Botic van de Zandschulp✓

Sep 2–3

6-4 7-5 6-2

Round of 128

Jan Choinski

Botic van de Zandschulp✓

Aug 30–Sep 1

6-3 6-1 7-6(5)

Alex de Minaur✓

Andrea Guerrieri

Aug 30–Sep 1

6-2 6-2 6-4

Round of 64

Alex de Minaur

Botic van de Zandschulp✓

Sep 2–3

6-4 7-5 6-2

What we know now

What I said beforehand

The preview, frozen before the first serve. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the pick worth anything.

De Minaur is the sixth seed, a quarter-finalist here last year, 33–17 on the season and 256–134 for his career on hard courts. Guerrieri is a 27-year-old left-handed qualifier ranked 187th with a 2–2 record and no tour-level hard-court matches on his ledger, playing the first Grand Slam main-draw match of his life. De Minaur's whole game is refusing to give away free points; there is no version of this where the debutant out-lasts him. Straight sets, and quickly.

Both cases written 2026-08-29, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

Tale of the tape

Alex de MinaurAndrea Guerrieri

0Career head-to-head0

27Age27

6′0″ (1.83 m)Height5′11″ (1.80 m)

69 kg (152 lb)Weight75 kg (166 lb)

Right-handedPlaysLeft-handed

2015Turned pro—

No. 7RankingNo. 187

33–172026 win–loss2–2

256–134Career on hard courts0–0

0Grand Slam titles0

QF (2025)Best at the US OpenFirst appearance

Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-28.

Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-28.