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Sports · US Open 2026 · Men's Singles · Round of 64

Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley

Round of 64

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My pick: Tomas Martin Etcheverry to advance · locked 2026-09-01 01:20 UTC

Prediction

Etcheverry, on rest as much as anything. The 27th seed made ten unforced errors in three sets against Vit Kopriva, won 77% of his first-serve points and was off court in 2 hours 2 minutes; Fearnley has now played five matches in six days at this tournament and the last of them ran 4 hours 11 minutes. That match is also the argument on the other side: Fearnley was two breaks down in the fourth set and facing a man serving for the match twice, and he won five games in a row and then the fifth set, having entered the draw as a lucky loser after losing the final round of qualifying. He does not fold, and he converted nine of sixteen break points doing it. But he also served sixteen double faults, and Etcheverry is 6′5″ with a first serve that has been landing. They have never played. On a hard court the Argentine's career record is a modest 51-58 and he has been beaten by lower-ranked players all season — 23-22 for the year — which is why this is not a formality.

The case for Tomas Martin Etcheverry

68% to win

Ten unforced errors in a straight-sets win is close to a clean sheet at this level, and Etcheverry backed it with ten aces and seven of ten break points converted. He is 6′5″, ranked 69 places above Fearnley, and comes in with two days more rest than an opponent who has been on court over eleven hours since Thursday. Nothing about his opener suggested a player who needs to be dragged into a fifth set to win.

The case for Jacob Fearnley

32% to win

Fearnley is the reason lucky losers exist. He lost the last round of qualifying, got in when Ugo Humbert withdrew, and then beat Martin Landaluce from a position where the Spaniard twice served for the match — sixteen break points faced across the two of them and nine taken. Etcheverry is 23-22 for the season and 51-58 on hard courts for his career; a seed with that record playing his first opponent who has already had to win from nowhere is exactly how second-round upsets happen.

Both cases written 2026-09-01, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

27Etcheverry
LLFearnley
vs

Tale of the tape

Tomas Martin EtcheverryJacob Fearnley
0Career head-to-head0
27Age25
6′5″ (1.96 m)Height6′0″ (1.83 m)
82 kg (180 lb)Weight80 kg (176 lb)
Right-handedPlaysRight-handed
2017Turned pro
No. 31RankingNo. 100
23–212026 win–loss8–11
51–57Career on hard courts21–23
0Grand Slam titles0
3R (2024)Best at the US Open2R (2025)

Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-28.

Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-31.

The briefing

Storylines

  • Fearnley is in the draw as a lucky loser: he lost the final round of qualifying to Jurij Rodionov and got in when Ugo Humbert withdrew.
  • His first round against Martin Landaluce lasted 4 hours 11 minutes across two days after rain, and he won five games in a row from 2-5 down in the fourth set.
  • Etcheverry made ten unforced errors in three sets beating Vit Kopriva 6-3 6-4 6-0 in 2 hours 2 minutes.
  • First meeting; they have never played at tour level.
  • Etcheverry is 23-22 for the season and 51-58 on hard courts for his career.

Head to head

They have never met at tour level.

Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-31.

Watch: Second-round coverage runs across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, which is where a match away from the two show courts will live. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)

Court & schedule: Not yet assigned. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, and this match has not reached the board yet. (Official US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-08-31)

Weather: Rain is the story of the week's opening, and it is forecast to get worse before it clears. Showers and thunderstorms are likely overnight — 72% under a low near 72°F — and Tuesday is the worst day on the board: near 81°F with storms likely through the day, 67%, and again after dark at 64%. Wednesday is the break in it, near 76°F on a 26% chance of showers, with a slight chance of storms returning overnight; Thursday is warm and unsettled again, near 84°F on 53%. Friday is the first clean day of the fortnight — near 82°F and mostly sunny after an early 15%. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs and play on; everything else waits. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-08-31)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.

At this Stage

The Round of 64 is where a Grand Slam draw stops being a lottery and becomes a tournament. Sixty-four men's matches opened the bracket; thirty-two across Wednesday and Thursday halve what is left, and everyone still here has already won on these courts. Seeds who came through the first round now meet opponents carrying form rather than a ranking.

Round of 128

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Vit Kopriva
Aug 30–Sep 1
6-3 6-4 6-0
Martin Landaluce
Jacob Fearnley
Aug 30–Sep 1
4-6 6-2 4-6 7-5 6-3
Matteo Berrettini
Stan Wawrinka
Aug 30–Sep 1
7-6(4) 7-6(3) 6-0
Novak Djokovic
Mariano Navone
Aug 30–Sep 1
7-6(5) 5-7 4-6 6-2 6-1

Round of 64

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Jacob Fearnley
Sep 2–3
Matteo Berrettini
Mariano Navone
Sep 2–3

Round of 32

Sep 4–5

Suggestions?

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