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Sports · US Open 2026 · Men's Singles · Round of 32

Luciano Darderi vs Dane Sweeny

Round of 32

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My pick: Luciano Darderi to advance · locked 2026-09-04 00:10 UTC

Prediction

Darderi is seeded 21st and ranked 22nd on the strength of a clay season; his career hard-court record is 20-41, and this is the surface where his ranking and his results diverge most. He got here by beating the qualifier Dalibor Svrcina 6-3 6-7 6-4 6-4 in 3hr44, which is a long way round against a man ranked outside the top 100. Sweeny is the story of the men's draw so far: a 170cm wild card who only entered when Alexei Popyrin moved up on ranking, ranked 123rd and No. 408 a year ago, who beat the 13th seed Lorenzo Musetti 3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2 on Thursday for his first top-20 win and his first Grand Slam third round. Musetti was unwell for three of those sets, which is the caveat, but Sweeny broke eight times from seventeen chances and came to the net 37 times, which is not something illness hands you. He is 22-17 on hard courts this season against Darderi's much worse career mark on the surface. They met once, in Australian Open qualifying in January 2023, Darderi winning 7-5 1-6 6-1. The Elo tables give Darderi about 290 points, which on a hard court against this opponent reads high.

The case for Luciano Darderi

66% to win

Seeded, ranked a hundred places higher, and coming off a four-set win that at least proves he can stay out there for the best part of four hours in this heat. Darderi's heavy forehand is a real weapon on any surface, and Sweeny is the smallest man left in the draw — over five sets, a 6ft opponent hitting through him is the shape that has beaten him before. He also owns the only meeting.

The case for Dane Sweeny

34% to win

Darderi is 20-41 on hard courts for his career, which is not a small-sample wobble but a settled fact about where his game works, and he needed 3hr44 against a qualifier two days before this. Sweeny has beaten a top-15 player, has spent the fortnight sharpening a net game that produced 26 winning approaches on Thursday, and arrives with nothing to defend and a crowd that has adopted him.

Both cases written 2026-09-04, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

21Darderi
WCSweeny
vs

Tale of the tape

Luciano DarderiDane Sweeny
1Career head-to-head0
24Age25
6′0″ (1.83 m)Height5′7″ (1.70 m)
82 kg (180 lb)Weight63 kg (138 lb)
Right-handedPlaysRight-handed
No. 22RankingNo. 123
33–222026 win–loss11–9
20–41Career on hard courts22–17
0Grand Slam titles0
3R (2025)Best at the US OpenFirst appearance

Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-09-03.

Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-09-03.

The briefing

Storylines

  • Sweeny only got into the draw as a wild card when Alexei Popyrin moved up on ranking; a year ago he was No. 408.
  • Darderi is 20-41 on hard courts for his career while ranked 22nd, the widest surface split of anyone left in the men's draw.
  • Darderi needed 3hr44 to beat the qualifier Dalibor Svrcina in the second round.
  • Their only meeting was in Australian Open qualifying in January 2023, Darderi winning in three.
  • At 5ft 7in Sweeny is the shortest man left in the singles draw.

Head to head

Darderi leads 1-0, from the second qualifying round of the 2023 Australian Open: 7-5 1-6 6-1 on hard. Neither man had played a Grand Slam main draw at the time.

Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-09-03.

Watch: Third-round coverage runs across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, which is where a match away from the two show courts will live. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)

Court & schedule: Not yet assigned. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, and this match has not reached the board yet. (Official US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-09-03)

Weather: Tonight carries a 29% chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2 a.m., mostly cloudy with a low near 74°F, which is the night session's only worry. Friday has improved sharply: the afternoon forecast had it at 46% and it is now a 21% slight chance after 2 p.m., mostly sunny, high near 83°F easing to 81°F, with the same 21% before 8 p.m. and then clearing. Saturday is the clean day — mostly sunny, 79°F, 3% — and Sunday holds at 75°F on 12%. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs and play on; everything else waits. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-09-03)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.

At this Stage

The Round of 32 is the third round, and the last one before a Grand Slam draw becomes a small tournament: sixteen men's matches across Friday and Saturday leave sixteen players standing, every one of them having won twice on these courts. This is the round where the seeding chart stops doing any work — from here on, whoever is left is who you play.

Round of 64

Alexander Zverev
Quentin Halys
Sep 2–3
Alejandro Tabilo
Alexei Popyrin
Sep 2–3
2-6 7-6(4) 7-6(3) 6-2
Luciano Darderi
Dalibor Svrcina
Sep 2–3
6-3 6-7(5) 6-4 6-4
Lorenzo Musetti
Dane Sweeny
Sep 2–3
3-6 6-1 6-2 6-2

Round of 32

Sep 4–5
Luciano Darderi
Dane Sweeny
Sep 4–5

Round of 16

Sep 6–7

Suggestions?

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