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Sports · US Open 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 128

Lilli TaggervsTamara Korpatsch

Sunday, August 30, 2026 · Round of 128

Watch: ESPN · ESPN2 · ABC · ESPN app

My pick: Lilli Tagger to advance · locked 2026-08-28 05:50 UTC

Prediction

Tagger. At 18 the Austrian is the youngest woman in the field's resolved matchups and very possibly its steepest riser — No. 48 with an 18–9 career hard-court record, a one-handed backhand that has already become a tour curiosity, and a straight-sets win over exactly this opponent last autumn in Jiujiang. Korpatsch at 31 is having a fine season (20–13) built on discipline and depth, and her flat, patient game will test whether the teenager's shot tolerance matches her shot-making. The 6-3 6-4 from October says it did then, on this surface. First US Opens are nervy; first US Opens with a head-to-head win in the bag are less so. Tagger in two, with one service wobble somewhere.

The case for Lilli Tagger

66% to win

Tagger beat Korpatsch in straight sets ten months ago, her hard-court numbers (18–9) are the best percentage in this section, and her one-handed backhand gives opponents a look nobody on the practice schedule replicates. Eighteen-year-olds this composed do not stay No. 48 long.

The case for Tamara Korpatsch

34% to win

Korpatsch's 20–13 season is the record of a professional at her peak discipline, and teenagers at their first Slam have historically donated exactly the tight first sets her game is built to collect. The Jiujiang loss was a small final-stretch event; a New York opening round is a different pressure instrument.

Both cases written 2026-08-28, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

Tagger
Korpatsch
vs

Tale of the tape

Lilli TaggerTamara Korpatsch
1Career head-to-head0
18Age31
6′1″ (1.85 m)Height5′6″ (1.68 m)
Right-handedPlaysRight-handed
No. 48RankingNo. 47
17–132026 win–loss20–13
18–9Career on hard courts52–68
0Grand Slam titles0
First appearanceBest at the US Open2R (2023)

Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-27.

Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-27.

The briefing

Storylines

  • Tagger, 18, is the youngest woman among the resolved first-round matchups — making her US Open debut at No. 48 with a one-handed backhand.
  • She won the only meeting, 6-3 6-4 in Jiujiang last October, on hard courts.
  • The winner faces 10th-seeded Amanda Anisimova — last year's finalist here — or Krueger in the Round of 64.

Head to head

Tagger leads 1–0 — Jiujiang, October 2025, 6-3 6-4 on hard courts. The teenager has already answered the style question once.

Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-27.

Watch: Opening-round coverage starts Sunday at 11 a.m. ET across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, including a whip-around channel for the early rounds. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)

Court & schedule: Not yet assigned — the US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, so day-one courts land the night of 29 August. This one profiles as a field-court match. (US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-08-27)

Weather: The opening window looks kind: mostly sunny and 85–86°F Sunday and Monday, with thunderstorm chances only creeping in on Tuesday. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs if the sky turns; the field courts wait it out. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-08-27)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.

At this Stage

Round of 128 with a future-watch flag on it: Tagger's debut is the kind scouts circle — 18, top-50, a one-hander, and a head-to-head win over the veteran across the net. The reward for surviving is enormous exposure: last year's finalist Anisimova likely waits in the Round of 64. Korpatsch's disciplined season makes her the ideal examiner of whether the hype translates under Slam lights. Sunday through Tuesday.

Round of 128

Lilli Tagger
Tamara Korpatsch
Aug 30–Sep 1
Amanda Anisimova
Ashlyn Krueger
Aug 30–Sep 1

Round of 64

Sep 2–3

Suggestions?

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