Sports · Wimbledon 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 32
Amanda AnisimovavsMadison Keys
Saturday, July 4, 2026 · Round of 32
Watch: ESPN · ESPN+
My pick: Amanda Anisimova to advance · locked 2026-07-03 13:30 UTCPrediction
Anisimova, in the pick of the women's round. This is a heavyweight collision: the sixth seed and last year's Wimbledon finalist against the 2025 Australian Open champion, two of the cleanest, biggest ball-strikers in the game. Madison Keys is the form horse on paper — 28-10 on the season — but Anisimova is the higher-ranked woman, the defending finalist on this lawn, and the winner of their only prior meeting, a three-set comeback at the 2025 WTA Finals. Both take the ball early and flatten it, so whoever blinks first in the baseline exchanges likely loses; Anisimova's slightly steadier length and her grass-court run last summer tilt a very close call her way. A tight two or a decider would surprise no one.
The case for Amanda Anisimova
54% to winAnisimova reached the Wimbledon final a year ago and is the higher seed for good reason: immaculate timing, two-handed power off both wings, and 20 aces in her second-round win show a serve that is clicking. She beat Keys in their only meeting, coming from a set down at the WTA Finals, so the matchup holds no fear. On grass, her flatter, earlier ball is a fraction more penetrating.
The case for Madison Keys
46% to winKeys is a Grand Slam champion in red-hot form — 28-10 on the year — with arguably the biggest forehand and one of the biggest serves in the draw. On a fast grass court those weapons produce free points in bunches, and her power can simply overwhelm anyone on a good day. She has the bigger title on her résumé and the momentum; if she serves well and dictates, she wins.
Both cases written 2026-07-03, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
Tale of the tape
Amanda AnisimovaMadison KeysPlayer vitals: ATP Tour player profiles and Wikipedia (career records) · as of 2026-07-01.
The briefing
Storylines
- Last year's Wimbledon finalist (Anisimova) meets the reigning Australian Open champion (Keys).
- Keys brings the hotter season at 28-10; Anisimova brings the higher ranking and the grass final.
- Anisimova won their only prior meeting, from a set down at the 2025 WTA Finals.
This fortnight’s form
Amanda Anisimova
- R1def. Lina Gjorcheska (Q)6-3 6-2
- R2def. Sofia Kenin6-2 4-6 7-6(3)
Madison Keys
- R1def. Kayla Day (Q)6-7(5) 6-4 6-3
- R2def. Katie Swan (WC)6-1 6-4
Each player’s path into this round. Source: Mungomash Wimbledon 2026 draw (this cluster's verified results), cross-checked against the published draw · as of 2026-07-03.
Head to head
They have met once, Anisimova winning 4-6 6-3 6-2 at the 2025 WTA Finals in Riyadh.
Source: WTA head-to-head · as of 2026-07-03.
Watch: US coverage runs on ESPN and ESPN2, and every court — this match included — streams on ESPN+. The exact channel and start time follow the order of play. (ESPN, as of 2026-07-03)
Court & schedule: Third-round order of play is posted the evening before; the court and start time for this match had not yet been published. (All England Club order of play (not yet released for the third round), as of 2026-07-03)
Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London — grass.
