Wimbledon 2026 pages
Sports · Wimbledon 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 32
Amanda Anisimova vs Madison Keys — 3-6 6-2 6-3
 Madison Keys✓ | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| Amanda Anisimova | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Final · Saturday, July 4, 2026 · Round of 32
Result
Keys turned it around after a set down, beating Anisimova 3-6 6-2 6-3 on Centre Court in an all-American power collision. The Australian Open champion cleaned up as Anisimova sprayed — 42 unforced errors to Keys's 23 — and won 76% of her first-serve points across the back two sets to take control, 87 points to 74.
Amanda AnisimovaStats: Official wimbledon.com match statistics (IBM) · as of 2026-07-09
Rows the source hadn’t published are left off rather than guessed.
At this Stage
A third round with a final's billing — last year's Wimbledon finalist against the reigning Australian Open champion — and the hotter form line held. Madison Keys lost the first set to Amanda Anisimova, then took over, winning 3-6 6-2 6-3 on Centre Court as Anisimova's ball-striking tipped from thrilling to wild (42 unforced errors). Keys's serve steadied the back two sets (76% of first-serve points won), and she moves into the last 16 against 9th seed Linda Nosková, who came from a set down to beat Sorana Cîrstea.
Round of 64
Round of 32
What we know now
What I said beforehand
The preview, frozen before the first serve. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the pick worth anything.
Anisimova, in the pick of the women's round. This is a heavyweight collision: the sixth seed and last year's Wimbledon finalist against the 2025 Australian Open champion, two of the cleanest, biggest ball-strikers in the game. Madison Keys is the form horse on paper — 28-10 on the season — but Anisimova is the higher-ranked woman, the defending finalist on this lawn, and the winner of their only prior meeting, a three-set comeback at the 2025 WTA Finals. Both take the ball early and flatten it, so whoever blinks first in the baseline exchanges likely loses; Anisimova's slightly steadier length and her grass-court run last summer tilt a very close call her way. A tight two or a decider would surprise no one.
The case for Amanda Anisimova
54% to winAnisimova reached the Wimbledon final a year ago and is the higher seed for good reason: immaculate timing, two-handed power off both wings, and 20 aces in her second-round win show a serve that is clicking. She beat Keys in their only meeting, coming from a set down at the WTA Finals, so the matchup holds no fear. On grass, her flatter, earlier ball is a fraction more penetrating.
The case for Madison Keys
46% to winKeys is a Grand Slam champion in red-hot form — 28-10 on the year — with arguably the biggest forehand and one of the biggest serves in the draw. On a fast grass court those weapons produce free points in bunches, and her power can simply overwhelm anyone on a good day. She has the bigger title on her résumé and the momentum; if she serves well and dictates, she wins.
Both cases written 2026-07-03, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
My locked pick: Amanda Anisimova to advance ✗ WRONG
“Last year's Wimbledon finalist and the higher seed, who also won the pair's only meeting — but a Slam champion awaits.”
Locked 2026-07-03 13:30 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version
Tale of the tape
Amanda AnisimovaMadison KeysPlayer vitals: ATP Tour player profiles and Wikipedia (career records) · as of 2026-07-09.
Storylines
- Last year's Wimbledon finalist (Anisimova) meets the reigning Australian Open champion (Keys).
- Keys brings the hotter season at 28-10; Anisimova brings the higher ranking and the grass final.
- Anisimova won their only prior meeting, from a set down at the 2025 WTA Finals.
Head to head
They have met once, Anisimova winning 4-6 6-3 6-2 at the 2025 WTA Finals in Riyadh.
Source: WTA head-to-head · as of 2026-07-03.
Court & schedule: Centre Court (TennisTemple match stats and ESPN scoreboard, as of 2026-07-04)
Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London — grass.