Wimbledon 2026 pages

Sports · Wimbledon 2026 · Women's Singles · Quarter-finals

Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauff — 4-6 6-3 6-3

Coco Gauff466
Jessica Pegula633

Final · Tuesday, July 7, 2026 · Quarter-finals

Result

4Pegula
7Gauff
4–66–36–3
Jessica Pegula
Coco Gauff
2Aces7
2Double faults7
68%1st serve in63%
57%1st-serve points won67%
52%2nd-serve points won47%
112 mphFastest serve126 mph
3/7Break points won5/5
15Winners25
24Unforced errors32
8/17Net points won15/24
77Total points won87
1579 mDistance run1542 m

Match time 1:48

Stats: Official wimbledon.com match statistics (IBM) · as of 2026-07-07

Rows the source hadn’t published are left off rather than guessed.

At this Stage

An all-American quarter-final that arrives from opposite directions. Pegula has been the tidier of the two — four rounds, one dropped set, past Vidmanova, Sorribes Tormo, Bouzas Maneiro, and Jovic — and brings the better Wimbledon pedigree, a quarter-final here in 2023 and a US Open final on her CV. Gauff has done it the hard way, surviving Sierra and Liu in three sets and then out-lasting Bencic 4-6 6-3 6-4 to reach her first Wimbledon quarter-final, a two-time major champion still learning to trust the grass. Her movement and return are the best in this quarter; her serve — nine double faults against Bencic — is the leak Pegula's clean, flat hitting can exploit. The winner reaches the semi-finals.

Round of 16

Aryna Sabalenka
Naomi Osaka
Jul 5–6
6-2 7-6(2)
Karolína Muchová
Barbora Krejčíková
Jul 5–6
7-5 5-7 6-3
Jessica Pegula
Iva Jovic
Jul 5–6
4-6 6-3 6-1
Coco Gauff
Belinda Bencic
Jul 5–6
4-6 6-3 6-4

Quarter-finals

Karolína Muchová
Naomi Osaka
Jul 7–8
7-6(4) 6-4
Jessica Pegula
Coco Gauff
Jul 7–8
4-6 6-3 6-3

Semi-finals

Coco Gauff
Karolína Muchová
Jul 9

What I said beforehand

The preview, frozen before the first serve. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the pick worth anything.

Pegula, narrowly, on the surface. Gauff is the more decorated player and the better athlete, but grass rewards the flat, early ball-striking Pegula trusts and punishes the serve wobble Gauff has been carrying — nine double faults against Bencic. Pegula has been the cleaner mover through the draw and owns the better Wimbledon record. Expect Gauff to make it a three-set fight with her legs and return; I lean Pegula to win more of the short points grass produces.

The case for Jessica Pegula

54% to win

Pegula is the cleaner grass player of the two and it shows in the scores — one set dropped in four rounds, no drama, flat hitting that stays low and rushes opponents. She reached the Wimbledon quarter-finals in 2023 and pushed to a US Open final in 2024, and Gauff's shaky serving this week (nine double faults against Bencic) is exactly the free-point leak her return can punish.

The case for Coco Gauff

46% to win

Gauff has the bigger trophies — Roland Garros 2025, the US Open 2023 — and the best movement and return in this section. She has won three-setters over Sierra, Liu, and Bencic by raising her floor when matches get messy, and if she holds serve she turns rallies into a footrace she usually wins. Her ceiling is higher; the question is the serve.

Both cases written 2026-07-06, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

My locked pick: Jessica Pegula to advance ✗ WRONG

“Grass rewards Pegula's clean flat hitting and punishes Gauff's serve wobble.”

Locked 2026-07-06 12:30 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version

Tale of the tape

Jessica PegulaCoco Gauff
5Career head-to-head3
32Age22
5′7″ (1.70 m)Height5′9″ (1.75 m)
Weight
Right-handed, two-handed backhandPlaysRight-handed, two-handed backhand
2009Turned pro2018
No. 4ATP rankingNo. 7
2026 win–loss
Career on grass
0Grand Slam titles2
Quarter-finals (2023)Best at WimbledonFourth round (2024)
CoachGavin MacMillan

Player vitals: ATP Tour player profiles and Wikipedia (career records) · as of 2026-07-07.

Career head-to-head: ESPN quarter-final preview / WTA head-to-head · as of 2026-07-07.

Storylines

  • An all-American quarter-final: Pegula, the No. 4 seed, against No. 7 seed Gauff.
  • Pegula reached the last eight for the loss of one set; Gauff survived three-setters against Sierra, Liu, and Bencic.
  • Gauff, a two-time major champion, is into the Wimbledon quarter-finals for the first time; the winner reaches the semis.

Head to head

Pegula leads 5–3 across eight tour meetings — including the most recent (the 2025 WTA Finals) and their only one on grass (Berlin, 2024).

Source: ESPN quarter-final preview / WTA head-to-head · as of 2026-07-07.

Injuries & withdrawals

Both playersNo injury or withdrawal concerns reported on either side ahead of the all-American quarter-final.WTA / ESPN quarter-final coverage · 2026-07-07

Injury news drifts hourly in tournament week — every row carries its source and date for exactly that reason.

Court & schedule: Centre Court, first match from 1:30 p.m. BST on Tuesday 7 July. (All England Club order of play (official, Day 9) and BBC Sport schedule, as of 2026-07-06)

Weather: Hot, dry and bright at SW19 — hazy sunshine and highs around 32°C (about 90°F), with under a 5% chance of rain as London's early-July heatwave builds. (Met Office All England Club forecast, as of 2026-07-07)

Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London — grass.

Suggestions?

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