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Sports · US Open 2026 · Men's Singles · Round of 128
Tommy Paul vs Coleman Wong — 6-7(3) 6-1 6-3 6-3
 Tommy Paul✓ | 63 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
 Coleman Wong | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
Final · Sunday, August 30, 2026 · Round of 128
Result
Wong took the first-set tiebreak 7-3 and won seven games after it. Paul started slowly and then stopped: 75% of his second-serve points to Wong's 50%, six breaks while conceding one, 127 points to 98. The qualifier hit fifteen aces to Paul's nine and still lost by 29 points, which is a tidy summary of the difference between a big serve and a complete one.
Tommy PaulRows the source hadn’t published are left off rather than guessed.
At this Stage
The Round of 128 is the widest the net ever gets: 64 matches a draw, spread across three days, every seed in action and every qualifier playing the biggest match of the year. This half of the bracket filled in late — qualifying ran a day long after rain pushed the last round to Friday, so these names were still blank slots on draw night. First-round losers leave with $140,000. The winner draws Prizmić or Shevchenko in the Round of 64.
What we know now
Court: Louis Armstrong Stadium
Match length: 2:41
Watch: ESPN · ESPN2 · ABC · ESPN app
What I said beforehand
The preview, frozen before the first serve. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the pick worth anything.
Paul is the 20th seed, 36–16 this season — the best win total of any man in this quarter — and 192–114 on hard courts. Wong is a 22-year-old qualifier ranked 94th who reached the third round here in 2025 and is 18–15 this year, which for a player outside the top 90 is a good season. Armstrong on Sunday. Paul should win in four; Wong is the sort of opponent who makes a seed work for three hours to do it.
The case for Tommy Paul
76% to winThirty-six wins this season and 192–114 on hard courts for his career. Paul's movement and depth of ball are a level Wong has not sustained against, and best-of-five gives the better player time to find the range even if the first set is a scramble.
The case for Coleman Wong
24% to winWong made the third round here last year, so the venue is a friend, and 18–15 with a 43–28 career hard record is a genuinely solid base. Three qualifying wins this week means he arrives with rhythm against a seed playing his first match.
Both cases written 2026-08-29, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
My locked pick: Tommy Paul to advance ✓ RIGHT
“A 20th seed with 36 wins this season against a qualifier, even a well-credentialled one.”
Locked 2026-08-29 01:40 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version
Tale of the tape
Tommy PaulColeman WongPlayer vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-28.
Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-28.
Storylines
- Wong reached the third round here in 2025 — through qualifying then, too.
- Paul's 36–16 season is the highest win total in this quarter of the draw.
- Louis Armstrong Stadium, Sunday: one of the better first-round draws for a qualifier.
Head to head
They have never met. Paul is 192–114 on hard courts for his career, Wong 43–28.
Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-28.
Court & schedule: Louis Armstrong Stadium, Sunday 30 August. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before; this one is on the board. (Official US Open order of play, as of 2026-08-28)
Weather: Sunday — the men's final, and the last match of the fortnight — was forecast at 78°F with showers and thunderstorms 95% likely, the wettest day of the two weeks and the one day that could not be pushed back. The rain came in the morning and stopped before the final, which Ashe played with its roof open. It cleared from there: 15% overnight, 15% Monday, then dry and sunny. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-09-13)
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.