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Sports · US Open 2026 · Men's Singles · Round of 128
Tommy Paul vs 
Coleman Wong
Sunday, August 30, 2026 · Round of 128
Watch: ESPN · ESPN2 · ABC · ESPN app
My pick: Tommy Paul to advance · locked 2026-08-29 01:40 UTCPrediction
Paul is the 20th seed, 36–16 this season — the best win total of any man in this quarter — and 192–114 on hard courts. Wong is a 22-year-old qualifier ranked 94th who reached the third round here in 2025 and is 18–15 this year, which for a player outside the top 90 is a good season. Armstrong on Sunday. Paul should win in four; Wong is the sort of opponent who makes a seed work for three hours to do it.
The case for Tommy Paul
76% to winThirty-six wins this season and 192–114 on hard courts for his career. Paul's movement and depth of ball are a level Wong has not sustained against, and best-of-five gives the better player time to find the range even if the first set is a scramble.
The case for Coleman Wong
24% to winWong made the third round here last year, so the venue is a friend, and 18–15 with a 43–28 career hard record is a genuinely solid base. Three qualifying wins this week means he arrives with rhythm against a seed playing his first match.
Both cases written 2026-08-29, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
Tale of the tape
Tommy PaulColeman WongPlayer vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-28.
Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-28.
The briefing
Storylines
- Wong reached the third round here in 2025 — through qualifying then, too.
- Paul's 36–16 season is the highest win total in this quarter of the draw.
- Louis Armstrong Stadium, Sunday: one of the better first-round draws for a qualifier.
Head to head
They have never met. Paul is 192–114 on hard courts for his career, Wong 43–28.
Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-28.
Watch: Opening-round coverage runs across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, including the whip-around channel that only exists in the early rounds. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)
Court & schedule: Louis Armstrong Stadium, Sunday 30 August. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before; this one is on the board. (Official US Open order of play, as of 2026-08-28)
Weather: The forecast cooled since the draw: Sunday opens partly sunny near 80°F with a slight shower chance after 2 p.m., and a 40% chance of showers and thunderstorms arrives with Sunday night. Monday is similar at 81°F, and the storm odds climb through Tuesday and Wednesday. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs; the field courts wait. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-08-28)
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.
At this Stage
The Round of 128 is the widest the net ever gets: 64 matches a draw, spread across three days, every seed in action and every qualifier playing the biggest match of the year. This half of the bracket filled in late — qualifying ran a day long after rain pushed the last round to Friday, so these names were still blank slots on draw night. First-round losers leave with $140,000. The winner draws Prizmić or Shevchenko in the Round of 64.
