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Sports · US Open 2026 · Men's Singles · Round of 64

Tommy Paul vs Dino Prizmic

Round of 64

Watch: ESPN · ESPN2 · ABC · ESPN app

My pick: Tommy Paul to advance · locked 2026-08-31 03:00 UTC

Prediction

Paul, and the recovery clock is why the margin is wide rather than merely clear. The 20th seed is No. 21 in the world, 36–17 on the season — the best win-loss record in this match by some distance — and 192–115 on hard courts across his career; he reached the fourth round here in 2024 and dropped only the opening tiebreak to Coleman Wong on Sunday. Prizmic is 21, ranked No. 102, and arrives having survived 2-6 6-3 6-3 5-7 7-5 against Aleksandr Shevchenko: five sets, the last of them 7-5, for the first US Open main-draw win of his career. The Croatian's hard-court split, 19–17, is the thinnest number in the match and it sits directly opposite the strongest. First meeting, so there is no history to argue with — which leaves form, format and legs, all pointing the same way.

The case for Tommy Paul

76% to win

Every measurable favours the American: No. 21 to No. 102, a 36–17 season to 25–14, 192–115 on hard courts to 19–17, and a fourth round here in 2024 against a man playing his second US Open. He also spent four sets on Sunday to Prizmic's five, and the only set he lost was a tiebreak he had chances in.

The case for Dino Prizmic

24% to win

Prizmic is 25–14 on the season, has just won his first US Open main-draw match, and did it the hardest way available: a set down, then two sets to one down, then 7-5 in the fifth. At 21 he is eight years younger than Paul and has already shown this week that he will not be talked out of a long match. If he can drag this one past three hours the age gap starts to matter, and a first-time opponent is a genuine unknown for a seed who likes rhythm.

Both cases written 2026-08-31, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

20Paul
Prizmic
vs

Tale of the tape

Tommy PaulDino Prizmic
0Career head-to-head0
29Age21
6′1″ (1.85 m)Height6′2″ (1.88 m)
82 kg (180 lb)Weight80 kg (176 lb)
Right-handedPlaysRight-handed
2015Turned pro
No. 21RankingNo. 102
36–172026 win–loss25–14
192–115Career on hard courts19–17
0Grand Slam titles0
4R (2024)Best at the US Open1R (2025)

Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-30.

Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-30.

The briefing

Storylines

  • First meeting: no tour-level match exists between them.
  • Prizmic came through 2-6 6-3 6-3 5-7 7-5 against Aleksandr Shevchenko for his first US Open main-draw win, at his second attempt.
  • Paul lost the opening tiebreak to Coleman Wong and then took three straight sets; he reached the fourth round here in 2024.
  • The hard-court records are the gap: 192–115 for Paul, 19–17 for Prizmic.

Head to head

They have never played. Prizmic has spent most of his career below tour level and only reached the top 150 this season, so there is no tour-level meeting to draw on.

Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-30.

Watch: Second-round coverage runs across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, which is where a match away from the two show courts will live. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)

Court & schedule: Not yet assigned. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, and this match has not reached the board yet. (Official US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-08-30)

Weather: Rain shapes the opening days. Showers and thunderstorms stay possible through Sunday night under a low near 72°F. Monday is the driest day of the window — partly sunny, high near 77°F, a 20% shower chance before 5 p.m. — before showers return after 8 p.m. Tuesday is warmer and wetter: mostly cloudy near 82°F with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly mid-afternoon and again overnight. Wednesday holds near 79°F on the same 50% odds, and Thursday is warmer still — partly sunny, 83°F, storms possible either side of the day. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs; the field courts wait. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-08-30)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.

At this Stage

The Round of 64 is where a Grand Slam draw stops being a lottery and becomes a tournament. Sixty-four men's matches opened the bracket; thirty-two across Wednesday and Thursday halve what is left, and everyone still here has already won on these courts. Seeds who came through the first round now meet opponents carrying form rather than a ranking.

Round of 128

Alexander Bublik
J.J. Wolf
Aug 30–Sep 1
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
Aug 30–Sep 1
Dino Prizmic
Aleksandr Shevchenko
Aug 30–Sep 1
2-6 6-3 6-3 5-7 7-5
Tommy Paul
Coleman Wong
Aug 30–Sep 1
6-7(3) 6-1 6-3 6-3

Round of 64

Sep 2–3
Tommy Paul
Dino Prizmic
Sep 2–3

Round of 32

Sep 4–5

Suggestions?

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