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Sports · US Open 2026 · Men's Singles · Round of 128
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino — 4-6 3-6 6-3 6-3 6-3
| 4 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Final · Monday, August 31, 2026 · Round of 128
Result
Tirante served nineteen aces and sixteen double faults, and the second number is the match. He led by two sets on Court 6 on Sunday before Mannarino took the third and the fourth and moved to 5-2 in the fifth — at which point rain washed the outside courts out for the night. They came back on Monday not before 12:30; Tirante held once, and the 38-year-old served it out. Across the two days it ran three hours 47 minutes, Mannarino winning 148 points to 139, going 21 for 28 at the net and breaking six times from twelve chances against 71 Tirante unforced errors. It is his second Grand Slam win of the year, after a first round at Wimbledon.
Rows the source hadn’t published are left off rather than guessed.
At this Stage
Round of 128 as an era check: Mannarino, the tour's great time-capsule lefty, defends last year's improbable second-week points against a debutant born the year he turned pro-adjacent. Tirante's section is as open as his side of the sport gets — win two matches and the seeds you meet are the beatable kind. For the Frenchman, every round survived extends the tour's longest-running exhibition of pace-absorption. Sunday through Tuesday; the forecast behaves until midweek.
What we know now
What I said beforehand
The preview, frozen before the first serve. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the pick worth anything.
Tirante, though the old man's flat lefty sorcery makes this closer than the birth certificates suggest. Mannarino at 38 is the oldest non-wildcard in the draw and made the fourth round HERE just last year — the skidding, pace-absorbing game ages beautifully on quick courts — but a 12–23 season and a body managing its 278th career hard-court loss point one direction. Tirante's 29–18 year has carried him to No. 42 and a US Open debut, and his heavy forehand is precisely the shot that moves a 38-year-old side to side until the geometry wins. First meeting. If Mannarino's timing arrives, he can flatten anyone's rhythm for two sets; across five, youth and topspin should erode him. Tirante in four.
The case for Thiago Agustin Tirante
62% to winTirante arrives with the better season by seventeen wins, a career-high ranking, and legs seventeen years younger for a possible fifth set. His looping forehand attacks the one thing Mannarino cannot manufacture anymore — court coverage — and debutant nerves fade faster against an opponent who cannot punish them with pace.
The case for Adrian Mannarino
38% to winMannarino made the second week of this tournament twelve months ago at 37, and his skidding lefty ball is the most rhythm-hostile game a topspin-heavy debutant could draw. He has 276 career hard-court wins and a decade of first-round upsets of exactly this profile; the season record undercounts a player who saves his craft for big rooms.
Both cases written 2026-08-28, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
My locked pick: Thiago Agustin Tirante to advance ✗ WRONG
“Seventeen more wins this season and seventeen fewer years — the fourth-round-at-37 romance is real, but five sets against topspin is a young man's format.”
Locked 2026-08-28 04:05 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version
Tale of the tape
Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-28.
Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-27.
Storylines
- Mannarino, 38, is the oldest direct entrant in the men's draw — and made the fourth round here just last year.
- Tirante's US Open debut comes at a career-high ranking off a 29-win season — part of a deep Argentine contingent across this draw.
- First meeting: 38 against 25, flat against topspin, 276 career hard-court wins against 30.
Head to head
Never met — Mannarino's two decades on tour and Tirante's clay-road rise finally intersect. Styles this opposed rarely need a history to be interesting.
Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-27.
Court & schedule: Court 6, Monday 31 August. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before; this one is on the board. (Official US Open order of play, as of 2026-08-30)
Weather: Sunday — the men's final, and the last match of the fortnight — was forecast at 78°F with showers and thunderstorms 95% likely, the wettest day of the two weeks and the one day that could not be pushed back. The rain came in the morning and stopped before the final, which Ashe played with its roof open. It cleared from there: 15% overnight, 15% Monday, then dry and sunny. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-09-13)
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.