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Sports · US Open 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 128
Mirra Andreevavs
Janice Tjen
Sunday, August 30, 2026 · Round of 128
Watch: ESPN · ESPN2 · ABC · ESPN app
My pick: Mirra Andreeva to advance · locked 2026-08-28 05:50 UTCPrediction
Andreeva. The fifth seed is 19, the reigning Roland-Garros champion — the youngest in Paris since Seles in 1992 — and the owner of a 41–13 season that spans every surface; she also beat Tjen three weeks ago in Cincinnati, 6-1 7-6(5), which doubles as the freshest scouting file in this pairing. Tjen's story is one of the tour's best — the Indonesian breakout whose 2025 carried her to No. 35 — but her 2026 has sagged to 10–21, and the Cincinnati meeting showed the pattern: Andreeva's depth and craft suffocated her first-strike game for a set before the second tightened. New York's faster court helps Tjen's flat hitting slightly; it helps Andreeva's precocious all-court control more. Andreeva in two, the second set competitive again.
The case for Mirra Andreeva
82% to winA major title at 19, a 41-win season, a fifth seeding, and a head-to-head win on this surface three weeks old: Andreeva's case is the sheet itself. Her return depth turns opponents' serves into rally starts, and no first-rounder in her quarter defends better. She also banked extra New York court time in the mixed doubles with Shnaider — semi-finalists, two weeks ago.
The case for Janice Tjen
18% to winTjen's flat, aggressive game took a set to a tiebreak against Andreeva this month — the blueprint (serve big, swing first, shorten everything) is proven to reach 5-5. Her ranking was earned on results that made her one of the sport's freshest stories; a 10–21 season means low expectations, and low expectations swing free.
Both cases written 2026-08-28, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
Tale of the tape
Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-27.
Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-27.
The briefing
Storylines
- Andreeva, 19, opens her first US Open as a major champion — her Roland-Garros title in June made her the youngest Paris champion since Monica Seles in 1992.
- She beat Tjen 6-1 7-6(5) in Cincinnati three weeks ago — the freshest head-to-head in the women's first round.
- Andreeva reached the mixed doubles semi-finals here with Diana Shnaider during Fan Week — extra court time no other top-five seed banked.
Head to head
Andreeva leads 1–0 — Cincinnati, three weeks ago, 6-1 7-6(5). The first set was a clinic; the second, a warning that Tjen's pace travels.
Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-27.
Watch: Opening-round coverage starts Sunday at 11 a.m. ET across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, including a whip-around channel for the early rounds. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)
Court & schedule: Not yet assigned — the US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, so day-one courts land the night of 29 August. A Roland-Garros champion's opener profiles for Ashe or Armstrong. (US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-08-27)
Weather: The opening window looks kind: mostly sunny and 85–86°F Sunday and Monday, with thunderstorm chances only creeping in on Tuesday. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs if the sky turns; the field courts wait it out. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-08-27)
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.
At this Stage
Round of 128, and the season's youngest major champion starts the second half of her year's argument: Andreeva's Paris title moved her from prodigy to peer, and New York asks whether the all-court game translates at the same altitude. Her section opens the draw's second half; the winner meets Lys or a qualifier next, and the seedings aim her section at a heavyweight Round of 16 with Anisimova, last year's finalist. Tjen gets the rematch nobody envies. Sunday through Tuesday.
Janice TjenRound of 128
Janice TjenRound of 64