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Sports · US Open 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 64

Anna Kalinskaya vs Xinyu Wang

Round of 64

Watch: ESPN · ESPN2 · ABC · ESPN app

My pick: Anna Kalinskaya to advance · locked 2026-08-31 20:50 UTC

Prediction

Kalinskaya leads the head-to-head 2-1 and has come through the first round in New York seven years running, which is the sort of record that stops being a coincidence. Her all-Russian opener against Anna Blinkova was a 6-4 6-3 in 1 hour 28 minutes built on 34 winners to seven — and 31 unforced errors, a high-variance afternoon that still never looked like being lost. Wang was the more economical of the two: 6-4 6-2 over Emiliana Arango in 1 hour 18, 31 winners to eight, four breaks from ten chances, 17 of 22 at the net. At No. 43 to Kalinskaya's No. 23 she is the underdog on paper, but their three meetings have split across three surfaces and eight years, and Wang won the most recent, at Strasbourg in 2024. Wang has been to the fourth round here; Kalinskaya's best is a third round.

The case for Anna Kalinskaya

62% to win

Kalinskaya has got out of the first round here seven years in a row and is 7-1 at the tournament in that round. She leads the head-to-head 2-1, hit 34 winners to Blinkova's seven, and won 79% of her first-serve points — the strike rate of a player finding range rather than grinding. At No. 23 to Wang's No. 43 she is the higher-ranked player, on a 152–107 hard-court record, and her only defeat to Wang came on clay.

The case for Xinyu Wang

38% to win

Wang was the tidier winner on Monday — 78 minutes, 31 winners to eight, four breaks from ten — and she won the most recent meeting between them, 6-4 7-6(3) at Strasbourg in 2024. She is 6′0″ with a flatter ball than Kalinskaya's and has been to the fourth round at this tournament, one round further than Kalinskaya has ever gone. Kalinskaya's 31 unforced errors on Monday are an invitation.

Both cases written 2026-08-31, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

21Kalinskaya
Wang
vs

Tale of the tape

Anna KalinskayaXinyu Wang
2Career head-to-head1
27Age24
5′9″ (1.75 m)Height6′0″ (1.83 m)
Right-handedPlaysRight-handed
No. 23RankingNo. 43
24–182026 win–loss22–20
152–107Career on hard courts107–103
0Grand Slam titles0
3R (2025)Best at the US Open4R (2023)

Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-08-31.

Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-31.

The briefing

Storylines

  • Kalinskaya beat Anna Blinkova 6-4 6-3 with 34 winners to seven, and has now come through the first round in New York seven years running.
  • Wang beat Emiliana Arango 6-4 6-2 in 1 hour 18, winning 17 of her 22 net points.
  • Kalinskaya leads the head-to-head 2-1, but Wang won the most recent meeting, at Strasbourg in 2024.
  • Wang has reached the fourth round here (2023); Kalinskaya's best is a third round.
  • Kalinskaya made 31 unforced errors on Monday to Wang's 32 — neither opener was clean.

Head to head

Kalinskaya leads 2-1: Australian Open qualifying in 2020 and Guadalajara in 2022, both on hard courts, against Wang's 6-4 7-6(3) on clay at Strasbourg in 2024.

Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-08-31.

Watch: Second-round coverage runs across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, which is where a match away from the two show courts will live. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)

Court & schedule: Not yet assigned. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, and this match has not reached the board yet. (Official US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-08-31)

Weather: Rain is the story of the week's opening, and it is forecast to get worse before it clears. Showers and thunderstorms are likely overnight — 72% under a low near 72°F — and Tuesday is the worst day on the board: near 81°F with storms likely through the day, 67%, and again after dark at 64%. Wednesday is the break in it, near 76°F on a 26% chance of showers, with a slight chance of storms returning overnight; Thursday is warm and unsettled again, near 84°F on 53%. Friday is the first clean day of the fortnight — near 82°F and mostly sunny after an early 15%. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs and play on; everything else waits. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-08-31)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.

At this Stage

The Round of 64 halves the draw again: 32 women's matches across Wednesday and Thursday, every one of them between players who have already won here this week. The seeds who came through the opening round now meet opponents with form behind them rather than a ranking.

Round of 128

Elina Svitolina
Solana Sierra
Aug 30–Sep 1
6-1 6-2
Maya Joint
Liudmila Samsonova
Aug 30–Sep 1
3-6 6-2 6-2
Emiliana Arango
Xinyu Wang
Aug 30–Sep 1
6-4 6-2
Anna Kalinskaya
Anna Blinkova
Aug 30–Sep 1
6-4 6-3

Round of 64

Elina Svitolina
Maya Joint
Sep 2–3
Anna Kalinskaya
Xinyu Wang
Sep 2–3

Round of 32

Sep 4–5

Suggestions?

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