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Sports · US Open 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 64
Elena Rybakina vs 
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Round of 64
Watch: ESPN · ESPN2 · ABC · ESPN app
My pick: Elena Rybakina to advance · locked 2026-09-02 10:30 UTCPrediction
Rybakina, comfortably, and the interesting question is what Bouzas Maneiro can take out of it. The second seed has two majors, 218 hard-court wins and a 43-14 record this season; she beat the 17-year-old wild card Thea Frodin 6-3 6-2 in 74 minutes without facing a break point, having been out-aced 11-6 and out-hit on winners, which is a useful description of how she wins — she does not miss and she does not give the serve back. Bouzas Maneiro is 23, ranked 105th after a season that has dropped her out of the top 100, and 14-22 for the year. She beat Darja Vidmanova 6-3 6-4, winning 80% of the points behind her second serve and hitting 22 winners to nine, and she has form for exactly this kind of match: at Wimbledon in 2024 she beat the defending champion Marketa Vondrousova in the first round, and made the third round here the same season. The one meeting between them, at the United Cup in December 2024, went to Rybakina 6-2 6-3.
The case for Elena Rybakina
92% to winRybakina is the world No. 2, a two-time major champion, and 218-95 on hard courts to Bouzas Maneiro's 32-44. She won their only meeting for the loss of five games. She faced no break point against Frodin and made 11 unforced errors in two sets; against an opponent who has won fourteen matches all year, the margin she needs is small and she already has it. Her best run here is the 2025 fourth round, which is the one line on her record that looks unfinished.
The case for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
8% to winBouzas Maneiro has beaten a reigning Wimbledon champion in a first round before, and the way she beat Vidmanova — 80% of second-serve points won, two match points earned on the return in the tenth game — is the profile of a player who plays above her ranking when the occasion is big. Rybakina lost the aces count and the winners count in her opener; a hard-court match decided on baseline errors rather than on serve is the one Bouzas Maneiro can lengthen.
Both cases written 2026-09-02, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
Tale of the tape
Elena RybakinaJessica Bouzas ManeiroPlayer vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-09-02.
Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-09-02.
The briefing
Storylines
- Rybakina leads 1-0: she beat Bouzas Maneiro 6-2 6-3 at the United Cup in December 2024, on hard.
- Rybakina beat the 17-year-old wild card Thea Frodin 6-3 6-2 without facing a break point, despite being out-aced 11-6 and out-hit on winners.
- Bouzas Maneiro beat Darja Vidmanova 6-3 6-4, winning 80% of the points behind her second serve and taking the match on her second match point.
- Bouzas Maneiro beat the defending champion Marketa Vondrousova in the Wimbledon first round in 2024 and reached the US Open third round the same season.
- Rybakina is 43-14 for the season with two majors; Bouzas Maneiro is 14-22 and ranked 105th.
Head to head
Rybakina leads 1-0. They met once, in the United Cup round robin in December 2024, on hard: Rybakina won 6-2 6-3.
Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-09-02.
Watch: Second-round coverage runs across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, which is where a match away from the two show courts will live. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)
Court & schedule: Not yet assigned. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, and this match has not reached the board yet. (Official US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-09-02)
Weather: Wednesday is the break in the weather the schedule has been waiting for: mostly cloudy, near 75°F, and a shower chance of only 19% until the light goes. The night session is where it turns — showers and thunderstorms at 69% on a low near 71°F. Thursday is the unsettled day, warm at 82°F with showers and thunderstorms likely at 60%, easing to 52% overnight. Then Friday breaks clean: near 82°F and mostly sunny on 8%, the first dry day of the fortnight, with Saturday sunny at 78°F. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs and play on; everything else waits. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-09-02)
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.
At this Stage
The Round of 64 halves the draw again: 32 women's matches across Wednesday and Thursday, every one of them between players who have already won here this week. The seeds who came through the opening round now meet opponents with form behind them rather than a ranking.
Round of 128
Round of 32