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Sports · US Open 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 32

Linda Noskova vs Ann Li

Round of 32

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My pick: Linda Noskova to advance · locked 2026-09-03 04:10 UTC

Prediction

Noskova won Wimbledon seven weeks ago, is sixth in the world at 21, and has spent 2hr 55min reaching the third round — 7-5 6-1 over Katie Volynets from 2-5 down in the first set, then 78 minutes to beat Lanlana Tararudee, in which she won 22 of her 27 points at the net. Li has spent rather more of herself: 7-5 6-1 over Antonia Ruzic and then 2hr 44min against Donna Vekic, a match she won by two points, 121 to 119, having lost the first set and saved the second in a tiebreak. That is the shape of her season — 23-23, a lot of long matches, and a fourth round here last year that remains her best major. They met once, in Dubai in February, and Noskova won 6-3 5-7 6-4, which is the encouraging half of the record for Li: she took a set off a player who would win Wimbledon five months later. The hard-court Elo gap is 188 points, which is wide but not the widest in this round, and Li at 28th in the world is playing the best tennis of her career. Noskova, but the American should get a set.

The case for Linda Noskova

75% to win

Noskova is a Grand Slam champion at 21 and sixth in the world, and she has been on court for under three hours to Li's four and a half. She won the only previous meeting, she is 33-14 for the season, and she has just come through two rounds without any of the wobble that a first Slam title sometimes brings. The third round is her US Open ceiling, which is the one thing here that could weigh on her.

The case for Ann Li

25% to win

Li has beaten a former top-20 player in three sets on this court this week and did it with two unforced errors in the deciding set, which is not the profile of a player who folds. She took a set off Noskova in Dubai in February. She is 28th in the world, a career high, made the fourth round here last year, and has the crowd. If the match becomes long and awkward, that is her ground rather than Noskova's.

Both cases written 2026-09-03, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

6Noskova
29Li
vs

Tale of the tape

Linda NoskovaAnn Li
1Career head-to-head0
21Age26
5′10″ (1.78 m)Height5′7″ (1.70 m)
Right-handedPlaysRight-handed
No. 6RankingNo. 28
33–142026 win–loss23–23
94–52Career on hard courts93–71
1Grand Slam titles0
3R (2025)Best at the US Open4R (2025)

Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-09-02.

Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-09-02.

The briefing

Storylines

  • Noskova won Wimbledon in July, beating Karolina Muchova in the final for her first major.
  • The third round equals her best US Open result.
  • Li beat Donna Vekic by two points across 2hr 44min on Wednesday.
  • Li reached the fourth round here in 2025, her best run at a major.
  • Noskova leads 1-0, having won 6-3 5-7 6-4 in Dubai in February.

Head to head

Noskova leads 1-0: 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the Dubai round of 64 in February 2026, on a hard court.

Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-09-02.

Watch: Third-round coverage runs across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, which is where a match away from the two show courts will live. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)

Court & schedule: Not yet assigned. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, and this match has not reached the board yet. (Official US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-09-02)

Weather: Wednesday night is wet: showers and thunderstorms likely at 64% on a low near 72°F, which is the night session's problem and the roofs' answer. Thursday stays unsettled — 83°F, showers and thunderstorms likely, again at 64% — and eases to 33% overnight. Friday improves without quite clearing: mostly sunny and 82°F, with a slight shower chance at 23%. Saturday is the clean day, sunny and 78°F on 2%, and Sunday is sunny at 74°F. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs and play on; everything else waits. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-09-02)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.

At this Stage

The Round of 32 is the third round, and the last one before a Grand Slam draw becomes a small tournament: sixteen women's matches across Friday and Saturday leave sixteen players standing, every one of them having won twice on these courts. This is the round where the seeding chart stops doing any work — from here on, whoever is left is who you play.

Round of 64

Marta Kostyuk
Sloane Stephens
Sep 2–3
6-1 7-5
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Kimberly Birrell
Sep 2–3
6-1 2-6 6-3
Ann Li
Donna Vekic
Sep 2–3
5-7 7-6(4) 6-4
Linda Noskova
Lanlana Tararudee
Sep 2–3
6-4 6-2

Round of 32

Marta Kostyuk
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Sep 4–5
Linda Noskova
Ann Li
Sep 4–5

Round of 16

Sep 6–7

Suggestions?

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