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Sports · Wimbledon 2026 · Men's Singles · Round of 16
Félix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina — 6-7(4) 7-6(6) 6-3 6-7(2) 6-1
| 64 | 7 | 6 | 62 | 6 | |
| 7 | 66 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
Final · Sunday, July 5, 2026 · Round of 16
Result
Stats: Official wimbledon.com match statistics (IBM) · as of 2026-07-09
Rows the source hadn’t published are left off rather than guessed.
At this Stage
Auger-Aliassime has held his seed line through Shevchenko, Prižmić, and Zheng, dropping no sets and turning the Zheng match into a Centre Court sprint after one tiebreak. Davidovich Fokina’s route has been scruffier but convincing: Cerúndolo, Marozsán, then Fucsovics in straight sets. The winner gets Safiullin or Djokovic in the quarter-final. This is the first time Auger-Aliassime’s section asks for patience as much as power, because Davidovich Fokina is very happy making a clean hitter solve ugly shapes.
Round of 32
Round of 16
What we know now
What I said beforehand
The preview, frozen before the first serve. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the pick worth anything.
Auger-Aliassime. Davidovich Fokina is exactly the sort of player who can turn a neat draw into a drawer full of loose cables, and he has earned the chance by winning three matches without letting the last two become epics. But Auger-Aliassime has not dropped a set, won 91% of first-serve points against Zheng, and has the bigger serve in a match where scoreboard pressure matters. He will have to tolerate mess; I think he does.
The case for Félix Auger-Aliassime
63% to winAuger-Aliassime has come through three rounds without dropping a set, and the Zheng match showed the ceiling: 38 winners, 10 aces, and no breaks conceded. On grass, that first serve lets him reset any weird patch before it becomes a crisis.
The case for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
37% to winDavidovich Fokina has already beaten Cerúndolo, Marozsán, and Fucsovics, and he generated 15 break chances in the third round. His case is variety and disruption: make Auger-Aliassime hit one more awkward ball, then test whether the forehand stays calm.
Both cases written 2026-07-03, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
My locked pick: Félix Auger-Aliassime to advance ✓ RIGHT
“Davidovich Fokina supplies the mess; Auger-Aliassime supplies the bigger exit door.”
Locked 2026-07-03 21:08 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version
Tale of the tape
Player vitals: ATP Tour player profiles and Wikipedia (career records) · as of 2026-07-09.
Storylines
- Auger-Aliassime has not dropped a set through three rounds.
- Davidovich Fokina beat Fucsovics 7-6(3) 6-2 6-3 in the third round.
- The winner advances to face Safiullin or Djokovic.
Court & schedule: No.1 Court, second match, not before 3 p.m. BST — follows Pegula vs Jovic; the published order of play puts it around 3 p.m. (All England Club order of play, Sunday 5 July (via Puntodebreak and olympics.com), as of 2026-07-05)
Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London — grass.