Wimbledon 2026 pages
Sports · Wimbledon 2026 · Women's Doubles · Semi-finals
Guo/
MladenovicvsJiang/Xu
Friday, July 10, 2026 · Semi-finals
Watch: ESPN+
My pick: Guo / Mladenovic to advance · locked 2026-07-09 20:00 UTCPrediction
There is no seed to lean on and precious little form line between them, so this comes down to who steadies the biggest points. Guo and Mladenovic carry the tournament's best win — a straight-sets ambush of the top seeds — and in Mladenovic they have a Grand Slam doubles champion whose big-match calm has decided ties like this before. Jiang and Xu are the tougher out in a scrap, having gone the distance three times already, and Xu is every bit as seasoned. I lean, narrowly, to Guo and Mladenovic: the pair that just beat the best team in the draw has the higher ceiling and the steadier hand to close.
The case for Guo / Mladenovic
54% to winGuo and Mladenovic have beaten the best team in the event — the No. 1 seeds — and did it in straight sets, saving the pressure points that a match like this turns on. Mladenovic's Slam pedigree and return game give them the sharper weapon and the calmer temperament when the semi tightens.
The case for Jiang / Xu
46% to winJiang and Xu have won the hard way all fortnight, past the No. 11 and No. 7 seeds and through two more three-setters. They don't blink in a deciding set, and Xu's experience at the back of the court makes them the more reliable pair when a semi comes down to a handful of returns.
Both cases written 2026-07-09, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
The briefing
Storylines
- An all-unseeded semi-final: neither pair is seeded higher than 10, and the No. 1 seeds are already out of this half.
- Guo and Mladenovic reached the last four by beating the top seeds Siniaková and Townsend 7-6(8) 7-5.
- Jiang and Xu have knocked out the No. 11 and No. 7 seeds and won two of their four ties in three sets.
Injuries & withdrawals
| Both pairs | No injury or withdrawal concerns reported for any of the four — all came through the quarter-finals without a fitness issue. | AELTC order of play (no withdrawals posted) and tour coverage · 2026-07-09 |
Injury news drifts hourly in tournament week — every row carries its source and date for exactly that reason.
Watch: No US linear window is posted for the doubles — every court streams on ESPN+, and a move to a show court can put it on ESPN or ESPN2. (ESPN, as of 2026-07-09)
Court & schedule: The order of play is out: this semi-final is on No.1 Court on Friday 10 July, not before 4 p.m. BST — it follows the other semi-final. (All England Club order of play (Friday 10 July), via BBC Sport, as of 2026-07-09)
Weather: Friday should ease off Thursday's peak — still warm and largely dry at SW19, a high around 30°C (mid-80s°F) with only a slight afternoon rain risk as London's heatwave relaxes. (Met Office All England Club forecast, as of 2026-07-09)
Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London — grass.
At this Stage
An all-unseeded semi-final born from a blown-open top half. Guo Hanyu and Kristina Mladenovic, the No. 10 seeds, arrive off the result of the fortnight — a 7-6(8) 7-5 win over the top seeds Siniaková and Townsend — after edging Dețiuc and Khromacheva from a set down. Jiang Xinyu and Xu Yifan, unseeded, have made a habit of ending seeded teams too, past the No. 11 and No. 7 pairs and then Neel and Olmos in three. With the No. 1 seeds gone from this half, the winner here is guaranteed a place in the final and, with it, a shot at a Grand Slam title no one at the top of the draw is left to contest. Two pairs, no seed higher than 10 between them, one match from Centre Court on finals weekend.
