Wimbledon 2026 pages
Sports · Wimbledon 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 32
Marta Kostyuk vs Emma Navarro — 6-2 4-6 6-1
 Marta Kostyuk✓ | 6 | 4 | 6 |
 Emma Navarro | 2 | 6 | 1 |
Final · Saturday, July 4, 2026 · Round of 32
Result
Marta Kostyuk broke through against her bogey opponent, beating Emma Navarro 6-2 4-6 6-1 on No. 2 Court to reach the fourth round and end an 0-3 head-to-head. The 12th seed's ball-striking overwhelmed Navarro's counterpunching — nine winners to two, and 63% of second-serve points won to the American's 28%. Kostyuk converted four of nine break points and won 92 points to 69; Navarro's lone push came in a 6-4 second set before Kostyuk pulled away in the third, dropping just two games.
Marta KostyukStats: Official wimbledon.com match statistics (IBM) · as of 2026-07-09
Rows the source hadn’t published are left off rather than guessed.
At this Stage
Marta Kostyuk finally solved the matchup that had beaten her three times. The 12th seed had never taken a set off Emma Navarro in three previous meetings; here she took the whole match, 6-2 4-6 6-1 on No. 2 Court, ending both the American's run and her own 0-3 head-to-head in one afternoon. Kostyuk out-hit Navarro nine winners to two and won 63% of her second-serve points to the 23rd seed's 28% — the first-strike day the head-to-head said she needed. Navarro, a 2024 quarter-finalist here, made her only real stand in a 6-4 second set before Kostyuk pulled clear. Kostyuk moves into the last 16 — her first at Wimbledon — against qualifier Ashlyn Krueger, who has upset her way through the section below.
Round of 64
What we know now
What I said beforehand
The preview, frozen before the first serve. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the pick worth anything.
Navarro, against the seedings. The 12th seed Marta Kostyuk is the higher-ranked woman, but Emma Navarro has beaten her in all three of their meetings and carries the better grass résumé — a Wimbledon quarter-final in 2024 to Kostyuk's best of the third round. Navarro's flat, deep, metronomic ball and elite return take away exactly the rhythm Kostyuk needs, and the American showed her nerve by edging Paula Badosa from a set down in the first round. Kostyuk, whose grass record sits at 10-15, came through a scrappy three-setter over Blinkova littered with errors and will need a cleaner day. If her ball-striking clicks she is dangerous — but the head-to-head and the surface history point to Navarro.
The case for Marta Kostyuk
43% to winKostyuk is the 12th seed and the more explosive ball-striker: when her timing is on she takes the racquet out of opponents' hands, and she has the power to end points before Navarro's defence engages. She fought through a tough three-setter to get here, so the competitive edge is sharp. If she can serve better and cut the unforced errors that plagued the Blinkova match, she can finally break the head-to-head.
The case for Emma Navarro
57% to winNavarro's case is the matchup itself: 3-0 against Kostyuk, all in three sets, and a game — deep, flat, relentless off both wings with a top-class return — purpose-built to smother Kostyuk's first strike. She has already been to a Wimbledon quarter-final, beat Badosa from a set down this week, and rarely beats herself. The safer, more grass-proven competitor.
Both cases written 2026-07-03, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
My locked pick: Emma Navarro to advance ✗ WRONG
“A 3-0 head-to-head and a deeper Wimbledon pedigree outweigh Kostyuk's higher seeding.”
Locked 2026-07-03 13:30 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version
Tale of the tape
Marta KostyukEmma NavarroPlayer vitals: ATP Tour player profiles and Wikipedia (career records) · as of 2026-07-09.
Storylines
- Navarro trails on seeding but leads the head-to-head 3-0, all in three sets.
- Navarro reached the Wimbledon quarter-finals in 2024; Kostyuk's best here is the third round.
- Kostyuk arrives off an error-strewn three-set win; her grass record stands at 10-15.
Head to head
Navarro has won all three of their meetings, including a grass-court meeting at Bad Homburg in 2025.
Source: WTA head-to-head · as of 2026-07-03.
Court & schedule: No. 2 Court (TennisTemple match stats and ESPN scoreboard, as of 2026-07-04)
Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London — grass.