Wimbledon 2026 pages
Sports · Wimbledon 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 16
Marta Kostyuk vs Ashlyn Krueger — 6-4 6-4
 Marta Kostyuk✓ | 6 | 6 |
 Ashlyn Krueger | 4 | 4 |
Final · Monday, July 6, 2026 · Round of 16
Result
Kostyuk beat Krueger 6-4 6-4 in 1:28, controlling the baseline from the first game. She struck 22 winners to 10 with only 13 unforced errors; Krueger's serve — 68% first serves in — couldn't offset 29 errors and six double faults. Kostyuk won 72 points to 60.
Marta KostyukStats: Official wimbledon.com match statistics (IBM) · as of 2026-07-09
Rows the source hadn’t published are left off rather than guessed.
At this Stage
Kostyuk's range beat Krueger's serve, and it was not especially close. The 12th seed won 6-4 6-4 in 1:28 on No.2 Court, taking the qualifier's run apart with 22 winners to 10 and only 13 unforced errors — the cleaner ball-striker by a distance. Krueger, who had reached her first major second week without dropping a set, finally cracked: 29 unforced errors and six double faults undid the serve that had carried her. Kostyuk reaches her first Wimbledon quarter-final, adding it to a Roland Garros semi-final on her CV, and now waits on the winner of Paolini and Eala for a place in the last four.
Round of 32
Round of 16
What we know now
What I said beforehand
The preview, frozen before the first serve. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the pick worth anything.
Kostyuk, in a genuine coin-flip. Krueger has been the better story — a qualifier into her first Slam second week, serving big and beating Snigur for the loss of five games — and she won their only recent meeting, on hard in Adelaide last year. But Kostyuk operates a level up when her timing arrives, and it arrived against Navarro: nine winners to two, an 0-3 head-to-head erased 6-2 4-6 6-1. On grass Krueger's serve keeps her in any match and can steal a set outright, so this stays close. I lean Kostyuk because her ceiling and her Slam experience — a major semi-final on her CV — should tell across three sets if the match turns messy.
The case for Marta Kostyuk
54% to winKostyuk is the more accomplished player — a Grand Slam semi-finalist at Roland Garros in 2025 — and she just produced her cleanest performance of the fortnight, dismantling Navarro's counterpunching with nine winners and a 63% second-serve haul. When her ball-striking is on she takes time away from opponents, and over best-of-three her experience in the second week of majors is the steadier bet. A better serving day and she controls the baseline.
The case for Ashlyn Krueger
46% to winKrueger is playing the best tennis of her life and serving like it — five aces and 84% of first-serve points won against Snigur, a weapon that shortens grass rallies and hands her free holds. She has already won six matches on these grounds counting qualifying, owns their most recent meeting at Adelaide in 2025, and plays with the freedom of a player house-money deep. If the serve fires, she can bully the biggest points.
Both cases written 2026-07-04, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — and tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.
My locked pick: Marta Kostyuk to advance ✓ RIGHT
“A serve-vs-range coin-flip; Kostyuk's higher ceiling and Slam pedigree edge it.”
Locked 2026-07-04 13:45 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version
Tale of the tape
Marta KostyukAshlyn KruegerPlayer vitals: ATP Tour player profiles and Wikipedia (career records) · as of 2026-07-09.
Storylines
- Krueger reached the fourth round from qualifying — her best Grand Slam result — before Kostyuk's range ended the run in straight sets.
- Kostyuk, a major semi-finalist at the 2025 French Open, reaches the Wimbledon quarter-finals for the first time.
- Kostyuk awaits the winner of Paolini and Eala; Krueger had won their most recent meeting, at Adelaide in 2025.
Head to head
They have met on the WTA Tour, with Krueger taking their most recent meeting at Adelaide in January 2025; this was their first meeting at a Grand Slam.
Source: WTA head-to-head · as of 2026-07-04.
Court & schedule: No.2 Court (TennisTemple match stats and ESPN scoreboard, as of 2026-07-06)
Venue: All England Lawn Tennis and Croquet Club, London — grass.