Sports · World Cup 2026 · Group F
Swedenvs
Tunisia
Sunday, June 14, 2026 · 10:00 p.m. ET · Monterrey Stadium (Estadio BBVA), Guadalupe (Monterrey)
Watch: FS1 · Telemundo
My pick: Sweden win · locked 2026-06-13 12:20 UTCPrediction
Sweden, on the strength of the best strike pairing in the group by some distance. Tunisia are disciplined and will sit deep, but Sabri Lamouchi's side were battered 5–0 by Belgium in their final warm-up and have failed to score in three straight. Sweden have their own frailties — they've conceded in 11 in a row — yet Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres, 37 international goals between them, only need a half-chance. Sweden 2–1, with Gyökeres involved.
The case for Sweden
48% to winSweden's case starts and nearly ends with the front two: Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres are among the most dangerous centre-forwards in world football, with 37 international goals between them, and Gyökeres dragged Sweden to the finals with a playoff hat-trick and a winner against Poland. Graham Potter's 3-4-1-2 is built to feed them, and against a Tunisia side just hammered 5–0 by Belgium, that firepower should be the difference.
The case for Tunisia
25% to winTunisia qualified without conceding a goal in CAF qualifying and have made a habit of being awkward and organized — a back line marshalled by ex-Arsenal man Omar Rekik, Ellyes Skhiri and Rani Khedira screening it, and Hannibal Mejbri's spark restored after the Belgium thrashing. Sweden leak goals — they've conceded in 11 straight — so if Lamouchi's side stay compact and punish the Scandinavians' defensive frailties on the counter, a low-scoring upset is on the table.
Both cases written 2026-06-13, before kickoff — they freeze into the record exactly as written, however the match goes. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — the unclaimed 27% belongs to the draw.
Sweden 3-4-1-24-2-3-1 TunisiaThe briefing
Storylines
- Sweden's selling point is a genuinely elite strike partnership — Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyökeres, 37 international goals between them — even after qualifying via the playoffs as the first team to reach a World Cup having finished bottom of its group winless.
- Tunisia arrive scrambling for form: beaten 1–0 by Austria and then 5–0 by Belgium in their final warm-ups, and without a goal in three straight, though they conceded none in CAF qualifying.
- Graham Potter, in charge of Sweden, lines up in a 3-4-1-2; left-back Gabriel Gudmundsson is touch-and-go with a virus, with Daniel Svensson or Elliot Stroud on standby.
- A late local kickoff at open-air Estadio BBVA in Monterrey means heat and humidity well into the night — a real fitness variable for both sides.
The coaches
Graham Potter Sweden
The former Chelsea and Brighton manager, handed a Sweden extension before his first win; here in a 3-4-1-2 built to feed Isak and Gyökeres.
Sabri Lamouchi Tunisia
Tunisia's head coach, under pressure after a 5–0 friendly loss to Belgium; a pragmatic organizer expected to shuffle his XI.
Availability
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | Touch-and-go — battling a virus; Daniel Svensson or Elliot Stroud would fill in at left wing-back | Sports Mole preview (Ben Knapton) · 2026-06-12 |
| Squad | Otherwise no injury concerns after Emil Holm's withdrawal; Lindelöf, Elanga, Nygren and Bernhardsson recovered from minor issues | Sports Mole preview (Ben Knapton) · 2026-06-12 |
| Squad | Fully fit; Lamouchi expected to make changes after the 5–0 loss to Belgium, with Hannibal Mejbri and Rani Khedira restored | Sports Mole preview (Ben Knapton) · 2026-06-12 |
Availability drifts hourly in tournament week — every row carries its source and date for exactly that reason.
Watch: FS1 in English (stream on Fox One with a TV provider) and Telemundo in Spanish (stream on Peacock). (NBC News / Yahoo Sports World Cup TV schedule, as of 2026-06-13)
Weather: Open-air and hot in Monterrey — a warm, humid night at Estadio BBVA for the late local kickoff, temperatures in the high 70s °F easing toward an overnight low near 69 °F, with a slight chance of a passing shower. (AccuWeather / Weather.com Monterrey forecast, as of 2026-06-13)
Venue: Monterrey Stadium (Estadio BBVA), Guadalupe (Monterrey), Mexico — FIFA strips sponsor names for the tournament; the everyday name is in parentheses.