Sports · World Cup 2026 · Group F
Tunisiavs
Netherlands
Thursday, June 25, 2026 · 7:00 p.m. ET · Kansas City Stadium (Arrowhead Stadium), Kansas City, MO
Watch: FOX · Telemundo
My pick: Netherlands win · locked 2026-06-24 10:01 UTCPrediction
Netherlands to win. Ronald Koeman's side were ruthless in a 5-1 demolition of Sweden and a win here all but guarantees top spot in Group F, with the depth and quality to handle a Tunisia team already eliminated after defeats to Sweden and Japan. Frenkie de Jong, Tijjani Reijnders and Ryan Gravenberch should dominate midfield, and Cody Gakpo offers a constant threat. Tunisia, playing only for pride, will dig in for Sabri Lamouchi, but the gulf in quality is wide. 3-0 Netherlands.
The case for Tunisia
17% to winTunisia have nothing left to play for but pride, and that can be liberating: with the pressure off, Sabri Lamouchi's side can throw caution aside, lean on the experience of Ellyes Skhiri and Hannibal Mejbri and try to sign off with a performance. A disciplined block and a set-piece or two against a Dutch side that may rotate could earn the Eagles of Carthage a consolation result.
The case for Netherlands
60% to winThe Netherlands found their rhythm against Sweden and look a different side with De Jong pulling the strings and Gakpo and Brobbey carrying the threat. Top spot — and the kinder half of the bracket that can come with it — is the prize, so Koeman will want a professional job. Against an eliminated opponent, the Dutch class should produce a comfortable, group-winning win.
Both cases written 2026-06-24, before kickoff — they freeze into the record exactly as written, however the match goes. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — the unclaimed 23% belongs to the draw.
Tunisia 3-4-2-14-3-3 NetherlandsThe briefing
Storylines
- A win secures top spot in Group F for the Netherlands; Tunisia are already eliminated and playing only for pride.
- The Netherlands thrashed Sweden 5-1 on matchday two to revive their campaign after an opening draw with Japan.
- Tunisia have lost both games, conceding nine goals across defeats to Sweden and Japan.
- Played in the open air at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City for the evening kickoff.
The coaches
Sabri Lamouchi Tunisia
The French-born former Ivory Coast coach has Tunisia organised and combative, though two heavy defeats have already ended their campaign.
Ronald Koeman Netherlands
Back for a second spell, he has the Netherlands playing on the front foot in a 4-3-3 built around De Jong and Gakpo.
Availability
| Brian Brobbey | Doubt — carrying a knock after the Sweden win, though expected to keep his place leading the line | Sports Mole / Squawka previews · 2026-06-24 |
| Memphis Depay | Doubt — still working back to full fitness after a thigh problem; Quinten Timber back in contention after concussion | Sports Mole preview · 2026-06-24 |
| Squad | No fresh injury concerns; Lamouchi has a full squad and may switch shape for the dead rubber | Sports Mole preview · 2026-06-24 |
Availability drifts hourly in tournament week — every row carries its source and date for exactly that reason.
Watch: FOX in English (free over the air, or stream on Fox One) and Telemundo in Spanish (stream on Peacock); the free Tubi simulcast carries Telemundo's Spanish feed. (NBC News / FOX Sports World Cup TV schedule, as of 2026-06-24)
Weather: Open-air at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City for the evening kickoff — hot, humid Midwestern summer conditions. (NWS Kansas City seasonal climatology (specific forecast not yet cleanly available), as of 2026-06-24)
Venue: Kansas City Stadium (Arrowhead Stadium), Kansas City, MO, United States — FIFA strips sponsor names for the tournament; the everyday name is in parentheses.
