World Cup 2026 pages
Sports · World Cup 2026 · Group L
Croatiavs
Ghana
2–1
Full time · Saturday, June 27, 2026 · 5:00 p.m. ET · Philadelphia Stadium (Lincoln Financial Field), Philadelphia, PA
Result
Croatia came from behind to win the game they had to win, taking second place in Group L. Petar Sučić curled in the opener midway through the first half, Derrick Luckassen volleyed Ghana level from a set piece just after the hour, but Nikola Vlašić's header seven minutes from time settled it. Ghana still go through as one of the best third-placed teams.
Substitutions
At this Stage
Croatia needed a win to be sure of anything and got one, Nikola Vlašić's header seven minutes from time turning a tense night in Philadelphia into second place in Group L on six points — a full recovery from opening the group with a 4-2 defeat to England. England themselves finished top on seven, unbeaten, after dispatching Panama 2-0. The cost lands on Ghana: four points, built on a win over Panama and that resolute goalless draw with England, would buy second place in some groups; in this one it buys third and a seat in the best-third waiting room, their fate now resting on arithmetic in other people's matches. Panama finish bottom, pointless and goalless. At this stage the group's moral is Croatian: you may lose your opener, even by four goals to two — just lose nothing after it.
Group L
| Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 6 | |
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 |
Top two (above the accent line) advance to the round of 32; the third-placed team is in the race for one of the eight best-third spots.
What we know now
Venue: Philadelphia Stadium
Attendance: 68,324
What I said beforehand
The preview, frozen at kickoff. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the predictions worth anything.
Croatia to win the game they have to win. Zlatko Dalić's side sit third on three points and almost certainly must beat Ghana to reach the last 32, while Ghana (four points) can likely advance with a draw. Croatia carry the greater attacking quality — Luka Modrić pulling the strings, Andrej Kramarić and Ivan Perišić providing the threat — and the urgency of a must-win game. Ghana's miserly defence, which has conceded just once, makes this awkward, but Croatia's need and class should edge it in Philadelphia. 2-1 Croatia.
My locked pick: Croatia win ✓ RIGHT
“Croatia sit third on three points and almost certainly must win to reach the last 32, while Ghana can likely advance with a draw. Croatia's greater attacking quality and the urgency of a must-win game give them the edge. Croatia to win.”
Locked 2026-06-26 11:50 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version
The case for Croatia
45% to winCroatia have the tournament pedigree and, with elimination staring them down, the motivation to throw everything forward. Modrić remains a magician in tight spaces, Mateo Kovačić gives them control and Petar Musa offers a focal point. A fast start to settle the nerves and Croatia's quality should overwhelm a Ghana side set up to contain.
The case for Ghana
27% to winGhana have been resolute, conceding only once in two games, and a draw is probably enough to send them through as runners-up or a best third. Carlos Queiroz's side defend in numbers, break through the pace of the Williams brothers and Antoine Semenyo, and have the discipline to frustrate Croatia and take whatever chance comes.
Both cases written 2026-06-26, before kickoff — they freeze into the record exactly as written, however the match goes. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — the unclaimed 28% belongs to the draw.
Storylines
- Croatia (three points) likely must win to advance; Ghana (four) can probably progress with a draw.
- Ghana have conceded just one goal in the group, the meanest defence in Group L.
- Croatia rely on the evergreen Luka Modrić to unlock a stubborn Ghanaian block.
- Played in the open air at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia for the early evening kickoff.
The coaches
Zlatko Dalić Croatia
In charge since 2017, he builds Croatia around Modrić and Kovačić in a possession-based 4-2-3-1.
Carlos Queiroz Ghana
The vastly experienced Portuguese coach has Ghana organised, compact and dangerous on the break.
Weather: Open-air at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia for the early evening kickoff — warm, humid Mid-Atlantic summer conditions. (NWS Philadelphia seasonal climatology, as of 2026-06-26)
Venue: Philadelphia Stadium (Lincoln Financial Field), Philadelphia, PA, United States — FIFA strips sponsor names for the tournament; the everyday name is in parentheses.