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Sports · US Open 2026 · Women's Singles · Round of 64

Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykova

Round of 64

Watch: ESPN · ESPN2 · ABC · ESPN app

My pick: Alexandra Eala to advance · locked 2026-09-02 10:30 UTC

Prediction

Eala, but not by as much as the seeding suggests, because these two have played this year and Oliynykova won. That was Strasbourg in May, on clay, 3-6 7-5 6-3, and it is the only evidence either of them has about the other. Everything since has gone the Filipina's way: a first WTA title in Washington in August, a career-high ranking of 18th, the highest Grand Slam seeding any Filipino player has held, and a 6-1 6-2 first round against the qualifier Mary Stoiana in which she saved all six break points she faced and broke four times. She is 21, left-handed, and 45-37 on hard courts. Oliynykova is 25, ranked 46th, and at her first US Open; she beat the wild card Reese Brantmeier 6-4 6-4 in a match with ten breaks of serve in twenty games, twice going a break down in the second set before winning the last three games. Her hard-court record at this level is 5-7 — she has built the ranking on clay and on the Challenger tour, and this is the surface that suits her least and Eala most.

The case for Alexandra Eala

82% to win

Eala is 28 ranking places higher, playing the best tennis of her life, and on the surface where her results live: a WTA 500 title in Washington in August over Fernandez, Svitolina, Osaka and Pegula, and a first round here that took 78 minutes. She has 45 hard-court wins to Oliynykova's five. The Strasbourg loss was on clay in May, before the title run that reordered her season, and the left-handed serve that saved six of six break points against Stoiana is a different weapon on a hard court than it was on a slow one.

The case for Oleksandra Oliynykova

18% to win

Oliynykova has beaten Eala once already this season, from a set down, which is the only head-to-head fact in the match and it belongs to her. She has won 19 matches this year, is ranked 46th on merit, and is difficult to finish: she was broken twice in the second set against Brantmeier and still won it, and ten breaks in twenty games is a scoreline that suits a returner rather than a server. Eala has been seeded at a major for the first time and the expectation that comes with 17 beside a name is not nothing at 21.

Both cases written 2026-09-02, before the first ball — frozen into the record exactly as written, whatever the result. The percentages are mine — opinions with a percent sign on. They add to 100 because tennis has no draw to hide the rounding in.

17Eala
Oliynykova
vs

Tale of the tape

Alexandra EalaOleksandra Oliynykova
0Career head-to-head1
21Age25
5′9″ (1.75 m)Height
Left-handedPlaysRight-handed
No. 18RankingNo. 46
31–202026 win–loss19–16
45–37Career on hard courts5–7
0Grand Slam titles0
2R (2025)Best at the US OpenFirst appearance

Player vitals: US Open official player feed (usopen.org) and Tennis Abstract career match logs · as of 2026-09-02.

Career head-to-head: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-09-02.

The briefing

Storylines

  • Oliynykova leads 1-0: she beat Eala 3-6 7-5 6-3 in the Strasbourg second round in May, on clay.
  • Eala is seeded 17th — the highest Grand Slam seeding a Filipino player has held — and was given Louis Armstrong Stadium for her first round on ticket demand.
  • Eala beat the qualifier Mary Stoiana 6-1 6-2, saving all six break points she faced and breaking four times from eight chances.
  • Oliynykova is at her first US Open and beat the wild card Reese Brantmeier 6-4 6-4 in a match with ten breaks of serve in twenty games.
  • Eala won her first WTA title in Washington in August and reached a career-high No. 18 the week before the tournament; her tour-level hard-court record is 45-37 to Oliynykova's 5-7.

Head to head

Oliynykova leads 1-0. They met once, in the Strasbourg second round in May 2026, on clay: Oliynykova won 3-6 7-5 6-3.

Source: Tennis Abstract career match logs (tour-level) · as of 2026-09-02.

Watch: Second-round coverage runs across ESPN, ESPN2 and ABC, with ESPN Deportes in Spanish — and every court streams in the ESPN app, which is where a match away from the two show courts will live. (ESPN press-room release and listings, as of 2026-08-27)

Court & schedule: Not yet assigned. The US Open posts each day's order of play the evening before, and this match has not reached the board yet. (Official US Open order-of-play release cadence, as of 2026-09-02)

Weather: Wednesday is the break in the weather the schedule has been waiting for: mostly cloudy, near 75°F, and a shower chance of only 19% until the light goes. The night session is where it turns — showers and thunderstorms at 69% on a low near 71°F. Thursday is the unsettled day, warm at 82°F with showers and thunderstorms likely at 60%, easing to 52% overnight. Then Friday breaks clean: near 82°F and mostly sunny on 8%, the first dry day of the fortnight, with Saturday sunny at 78°F. Ashe and Armstrong close their roofs and play on; everything else waits. (National Weather Service New York forecast, as of 2026-09-02)

Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, New York — hard.

At this Stage

The Round of 64 halves the draw again: 32 women's matches across Wednesday and Thursday, every one of them between players who have already won here this week. The seeds who came through the opening round now meet opponents with form behind them rather than a ranking.

Round of 128

Iva Jovic
Magdalena Frech
Aug 30–Sep 1
Magda Linette
Francesca Jones
Aug 30–Sep 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Reese Brantmeier
Aug 30–Sep 1
6-4 6-4
Alexandra Eala
Mary Stoiana
Aug 30–Sep 1
6-1 6-2

Round of 64

Sep 2–3
Alexandra Eala
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Sep 2–3

Round of 32

Sep 4–5

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