World Cup 2026 pages
Sports · World Cup 2026 · Round of 32
Belgiumvs
Senegal
3–2 aet
Full time · Wednesday, July 1, 2026 · 4:00 p.m. ET · Seattle Stadium (Lumen Field), Seattle, WA
Result
Belgium produced one of the great World Cup escapes, coming from 2-0 down in the 86th minute to beat Senegal 3-2 after extra time — Youri Tielemans' 125th-minute penalty the latest goal in World Cup history. Senegal controlled most of the ninety and hit the woodwork twice: Habib Diarra side-footed the opener after Ismaïla Sarr's header came off the post, and Sarr made it two just after the break, chesting down Moussa Niakhaté's long pass and thundering it in. Then the collapse: Romelu Lukaku turned in Thomas Meunier's low cross in the 86th, and Tielemans headed Leandro Trossard's deep delivery home in the 89th to force extra time. Deep into its stoppage time, Lamine Camara slid in on Tielemans in the box; after a VAR review, the midfielder picked out the top corner himself. Senegal join South Africa, Côte d'Ivoire and DR Congo as African sides out by fine margins in this round of 32. Belgium advance to the round of 16.
Substitutions
At this Stage
Senegal had already broken one precedent — no side before them had ever reached the knockouts after losing their first two group games — and for 85 minutes in Seattle they were busy breaking another, two goals up on Group G winners Belgium with the woodwork struck twice. What followed was one of the great World Cup escapes: Belgium level by the 89th minute, then through in the 125th, Youri Tielemans converting the latest goal in World Cup history for 3-2. Senegal join South Africa, Côte d'Ivoire and DR Congo on this round's list of African sides beaten by the finest of margins. Belgium barely have to pack: the round of 16 keeps them in Seattle on July 7, with the USA next — and with notice served that this team can sleepwalk for 85 minutes and still refuse to lose.
Round of 32
Round of 16
What we know now
Venue: Seattle Stadium
Attendance: 66,925
Watch: FS1 in English (stream on Fox One) and Telemundo in Spanish (stream on Peacock); the free Tubi simulcast carries Telemundo's Spanish feed.
What I said beforehand
The preview, frozen at kickoff. Clearly dated, never rewritten — that's the deal that makes the predictions worth anything.
Belgium to edge a genuinely even tie, perhaps in extra time. Rudi Garcia's side won Group G but have blown hot and cold, saving their best for a 5-1 rout of New Zealand after drawing with Egypt and Iran. Senegal reached the last 32 the hard way — beaten by France and Norway before thrashing Iraq 5-0 — and the loss of goalkeeper Édouard Mendy to a knee injury is a real blow. Kevin De Bruyne, Jérémy Doku and Thibaut Courtois give Belgium the higher ceiling, but Sadio Mané and Ismaïla Sarr can punish any sloppiness. 2-1 Belgium.
My locked pick: Belgium advance ✓ RIGHT
“Belgium to edge a tight, even tie. Rudi Garcia's side won Group G and carry match-winners in Kevin De Bruyne and Jérémy Doku in front of a settled Thibaut Courtois, but they have flickered rather than convinced. Senegal arrive as a dangerous best-third qualifier — they thrashed Iraq 5-0 to go through — and though the loss of goalkeeper Édouard Mendy is a blow, Sadio Mané and Ismaïla Sarr give them real threat. A coin-flip that could go the distance, but Belgium's ceiling should just tell. Belgium to win.”
Locked 2026-06-30 04:35 UTC — rendered verbatim from the pick ledger; never a fresher, hedged version
The case for Belgium
45% to winBelgium have the more decorated squad and, in De Bruyne and Doku in front of Courtois, the individuals to win a tight knockout on a single moment. They found their attacking rhythm late in the group with five goals against New Zealand, and if that version turns up, Senegal's makeshift goalkeeping situation could be exposed.
The case for Senegal
28% to winSenegal are physical, quick and dangerous on the break, with Mané and Sarr able to hurt a Belgium side that can look vulnerable in transition. Pape Thiaw's changes worked wonders against Iraq, and if Idrissa Gana Gueye controls midfield and the Lions ride an early storm, they have the athleticism to drag Belgium into a shootout and beyond.
Both cases written 2026-06-30, before kickoff — they freeze into the record exactly as written, however the match goes. The percentages are mine, quoted to a decimal because false precision is funnier — the unclaimed 27% belongs to the draw.
Storylines
- Belgium, Group G winners, meet Senegal — a best third-placed qualifier — in the nations' first-ever competitive meeting.
- Senegal may be without first-choice goalkeeper Édouard Mendy, who picked up a knee injury against Norway.
- Senegal became the first side to reach the knockouts after losing their opening two group games, recovering to beat Iraq 5-0.
- Belgium saved their best for last in the group, hammering New Zealand after slow draws with Egypt and Iran.
The coaches
Rudi Garcia Belgium
The Frenchman has Belgium winning their group but flickering rather than convincing; leans on De Bruyne and Doku to unlock games.
Pape Thiaw Senegal
Senegal's coach turned their tournament around with bold changes against Iraq; sets up to defend solidly and counter through Mané and Sarr.
Availability
| Édouard Mendy | Out — knee injury suffered against Norway; left camp for assessment, with Mory Diaw set to start in goal | Sports Mole |
| Kalidou Koulibaly | Doubt — available but may be benched after Abdoulaye Seck impressed against Iraq | Sports Mole / ESPN |
| Zeno Debast | Doubt — leg injury; took part in his first training session of the tournament and could be passed fit | Sports Mole |
Availability drifts hourly in tournament week — every row carries its source and date for exactly that reason.
Weather: Mild and mostly cloudy at Seattle's Lumen Field for the afternoon kickoff — around the mid-60s°F with a light southerly breeze, dry. (NWS Seattle forecast (29 Jun 2026), as of 2026-06-30)
Referee: Saíd Martínez (Honduras). (FIFA Round-of-32 match appointments (Athlon / Yahoo / FourFourTwo appointment reports), matched by venue and kickoff time, as of 2026-07-02)
Venue: Seattle Stadium (Lumen Field), Seattle, WA, United States — FIFA strips sponsor names for the tournament; the everyday name is in parentheses.